From the Horizon League Press Release
The bad scenario is at the bottom. YSU is a big Valpo fan tonight. Butler losing helps YSU in many tiebreaker scenarios.
t-4. Youngstown State (10-7) – vs. Detroit
Clinches No. 3 seed with win AND BU loss AND CSU loss AND UWM win (BU, CSU, UWM, YSU 11-7 – BU 4-2, CSU 3-3, UWM 2-4, YSU 3-3; YSU with best win over CSU – beat Valpo)
Clinches No. 3 seed with win AND BU win AND CSU loss AND UWM loss (YSU, CSU 11-7 – split reg. season; YSU with best win – Valpo)
Clinches No. 3 seed with win AND BU win AND CSU loss AND UWM win (CSU, UWM, YSU 11-7 – YSU 3-1, CSU 2-2, UWM 1-3)
Clinches No. 4 seed with win AND BU win AND CSU win AND UWM win (YSU, UWM 11-7 – YSU swept UWM)
Clinches No. 4 seed with win AND BU loss AND CSU loss AND UWM loss (BU, CSU, YSU 11-7 – BU 3-1, CSU 2-2, YSU 1-3)
Clinches No. 4 seed with win AND BU loss AND CSU win AND UWM loss (BU, YSU 11-7 – BU swept YSU)
Clinches No. 4 seed with win AND BU loss AND CSU win AND UWM win (BU, UWM, YSU 11-7 – BU 3-1, UWM 1-3, YSU 2-2)
Clinches No. 5 seed with loss AND UWM loss AND GB win (YSU, UWM, GB 10-8 – YSU 3-1, UWM 2-2, GB 1-3)
Clinches No. 6 seed with loss AND UWM win AND GB win in any scenario in which DET or UWM finishes ahead of BU (YSU, GB 10-8 – split reg. season; YSU, GB each beat Valpo, so would depend on 2nd place team – if BU, GB gets No. 6 seed; if CSU, each team split, forcing it down ladder; if DET, YSU gets No. 6 seed; if UWM, YSU gets No. 6 seed)
Clinches No. 7 seed with loss AND UWM win AND GB win AND BU win (YSU, GB 10-8 – BU would be No. 2 seed, giving GB best win moving down ladder)