I know SD can beat YSU. Any team can beat another team on a given day. What myself and a few others are saying(well at least me), is that SD has no business makingthis a close game, let alone winning. If both teams play the best they can play, YSU ought to win by 20+ points.
Massey is predicting 34-14
If using Sagarin, YSU 65.83 - SD 48.01...so, with the hom advantage, Sagarin ratings make YSU a 17 point favorite.
Nolan Power Index, YSU is 21st with rating of 84.97 and SD is 97th with rating of 51.89... That is 97th in FCS, not 97th in all of D1
A few more stats...SD has scored 20 or less points in all 4 road games this season, and they are 1-24 in their last 25 road games dating back to 2010. The lone win was last year at UNI.
SD has not won a game in November since 2011 against Missouri State at home
I will not be surprised if it ends up being a close game. Would not even be surprised if YSU found a way to lose. I just believe that it is the time of year where playoff caliber teams start to separate from the non playoff caliber teams. The 2012 and 2013 games were close, and YSU did not make the playoffs in either 2012 or 2013.
And, here is the craziest part of all. If I made a post pointing out how close the games were the past 2 years, said I expect YSU to be unfocused, make alot of mistakes and end up losing an ugly game due to poor coaching a players looking past SD, people would be bashing me for not being a "true fan".