I stole this from a Griz fan that I feel did the best job of describing the playoff picture.
Clinched (4)
Norfolk State
Lehigh
Georgia Southern
Sam Houston State
Other Locks (
MSU-Bozeman
Montana
Towson
Maine
Old Dominion
North Dakota State
Northern Iowa
Central Arkansas
The 12 teams listed above are going to be in the playoffs regardless of what happens in the last week. Three more automatic berths will go to winners of one-bid conferences (Big South, Northeast, Ohio Valley). That leaves five more at-large spots for the rest of the field. The following teams will be solidly in by winning their last game, and could still qualify with a loss:
New Hampshire
Illinois State
Wofford
Appalachian State
The rest of these probably need some help to get in as an at-large:
Portland State
James Madison
Florida A&M / Bethune-Cookman (will play each other)
Indiana State
Youngstown State
Georgetown
Furman
As of right now, these would probably be the top five seeds:
1. Sam Houston State
2. MSU-Bozeman
3. North Dakota State
4. Georgia Southern
5. Northern Iowa
As it looks now, the Griz should be seeded with a win in Bozeman, and would probably still be in the top 12 with a loss. Let's just plan on them giving the committee an easy decision by winning the Big Sky next week.
