Author Topic: Preview: Men's basketball vs Valparaiso  (Read 3138 times)

Offline ysuindy

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Preview: Men's basketball vs Valparaiso
« on: January 23, 2014, 12:09:24 PM »
YSU hosts Valpo tonight.  The Crusaders are 11-9, 3-2 in the Horizon League

Valpo has home wins over UIC and UWM and a road win at Detroit.  League losses are at Oakland and home to Wright State.

Non-conference includes 3 non-Division I wins and no wins against Pomeroy top 150 teams. Bad losses (Pomeroy 200 or higher) were to 227 Evansville and 270 Eastern Tennessee.

Pomeroy  gives YSU a 73% chance of winning and projects a 81-74 final.

Massey gives YSU a 66% chance of winning and project 80-75.

Sagarin's ratings make YSU a 4 1/2 point favorite

Dunkel indicates the Vegas line is YSU by 4 and recommends taking Valpo plus the points.

My morning paper has YSU a 2 1/2 point favorite.

This is the weakest Valpo team in a few years. YSU has won the last two at Beeghley against them.  This is a game that YSU needs to win if they hope to contend for a double bye in the conference tournament.

I will be away from the computer for most of the night - hoping to come back to a good result.