This has always been a Big Sky biased (Griz) writer ...as evidenced by the Sky receiving two seeds. UNI will get a seed over and 8-3 Montana (maybe not a 9-2 UM though) ...with Appy State and Sam Houston well above either of them.
The committee will not ignore the fact that we beat ILS, and the SDSU beat us. Saying we are above the Jacks and below the Redbirds is foolish.
Unfortunately if we are the 3rd team out of the MVFC, we will go out west and I only wish we had MSU ...this one would break 100-points with ease. They will never stop our play-action and our secondary will never stop their QB. The key would be our ability to pressure once again.
We will end up with a play-in game and get a game AT either#2 Southland, #3 SoCon, or HOST #4 CAA. I suspect the last with a game here in Youngstown ...which is great ...welcome back JMU #2. We are once of the few show-case teams in FCS/I-AA ...ie: we hosted JMU as we are a better draw. We go to Wofford. However, I feel there is an outside shot that we could get Bethune-Cookman ...then we could host ...again because of draw. However, politics could put us in Florida for this one. One other scenario would put Duquesne at the Ice Castle ...but that is a long-shot.
This all assumes that we are in:
1. A HUGE win this weekend.
2. Strollo is liked by the committee, as we do not deserve a bid over SDSU.