How competitive we can be at Pitt will give us the early indication about the ceiling for this team. It should help that NDSU and SDSU are at home. 7 wins gets us in; 8 wins seems quite possible. After that so much depends upon the whims of the selection committee. I still can't believe how weak our side of the bracket was last season, with NDSU, SDSU, Villanova, and James Madison all placed on the other side. It would help again if we were placed in the pool with teams that play no defense (Eastern Washington and Jacksonville State.) I don't care how potent their offenses might be.